Saturday, September 8, 2012

Dan Caesar's Week 1 NFL Picks

Each week of the NFL season, Dan Caesar of the Post-Dispatch sports staff offers his predictions. His records for 2011 are at the bottom of this article.

COLTS AT BEARS ? Line: Bears by 10

? Indy?s Luck is to make his NFL debut, and In last 6 seasons teams with a QB making his first NFL start are 16-35. Tough assignment for him vs. CHI?s tough defense.

Caesar's pick: Bears 26, Colts 13

EAGLES AT BROWNS ? Line: Eagles by 9

? Browns QB Weeden joins the first NFL start club; PHA seems poised for a big season.

Caesar's pick: Eagles 23, Browns 16

BILLS AT JETS ? Line: Jets by 3

? Enough of the Tebow/NY hype, BUF offense should click this season ? starting here.

Caesar's pick: Bills 30, Jets 24

REDSKINS AT SAINTS ? Line: Saints by 7

? WASH?s Griffin III is 3rd of 6 first-start QBs, but he can keep team close vs. foe in flux.

Caesar's pick: Saints 34, Redskins 27

PATRIOTS AT TITANS ? Line: Patriots by 5?

? TEN?s Locker is another 1st-start QB, the only non-rookie. Can he keep up with Brady?

Caesar's pick: Patriots 27, Titans 17

JAGUARS AT VIKINGS ? Line: Vikings by 4

? Two of NFL?s worst meet. Don?t expect much from key RBs Peterson, Jones-Drew.

Caesar's pick: Vikings 20, Jaguars 17

DOLPHINS AT TEXANS ?? Line: Texans by 12

? MIA?s Tannehill is greenest of day?s first-time QBs, expect little vs. solid HOU defense.

Caesar's pick: Texans 30, Dolphins 10

RAMS AT LIONS ? Line: Lions by 7

? New big-name coach, but a lot of no-name STL players. DET pass attack should feast.

Caesar's pick: Lions 31, Rams 13

FALCONS AT CHIEFS?? Line: Falcons by 3

? TE Tony Gonzalez in KC for first time as a foe; ATL should shin in high scoring game.

Caesar's pick: Falcons 30, Chiefs 24

49ERS AT PACKERS?? Line: Packers by 5?

? GB defensive backfield in flux, but offense should make up for that vs. tough SF ?D? in what shapes up as the game of the day.

Caesar's pick: Packers 27, 49ers 23

PANTHERS AT BUCS ? Line: Panthers by 2?

? Will CAR?s Newton have soph slump? TB seems improved, and is home underdog.

Caesar's pick: Bucs 20, Panthers 17

SEAHAWKS AT CARDINALS ?? Line: Seahawks by 2?

? SEA?s Wilson finishes QB debut parade, and is on road; Skelton won Cards? QB derby.

Caesar's pick: Cardinals 23, Seahawks 20

STEELERS AT BRONCOS ?? Line: Broncos by 1?

? Peyton Manning makes DEN debut and, with PIT minus S Ryan Clark, should prevail.

Caesar's pick: Broncos 24, Steelers 20

BENGALS AT RAVENS ?? Line: Ravens by 6

? BALT is tough at home, CIN is team in transition and draws tough spot for opener.

Caesar's pick: Ravens 20, Bengals 13

CHARGERS AT RAIDERS ? Line: Chargers by 1?

? OAK will try to pound ball with McFadden and Co., SD attack still needs work.

Caesar's pick: Raiders 24, Chargers 21

* * *

PICK OF THE WEEK TO WIN: Lions.

PICK OF THE WEEK VS. POINT SPREAD: Bills.

CAESAR?S RECORD:

? Last season overall: 167-89.

? Last season vs. Point Spread: 120-123-13.

? Pick of the week to win ? Last season: 14-3.

? Pick of week vs. spread ? Last season: 9-8.

Source: http://www.stltoday.com/sports/football/professional/dan-caesar-s-week-nfl-picks/article_19c50030-f8fb-11e1-aaf5-0019bb30f31a.html

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